2015 · GS Paper 1 · Q20 · 12 marks

What are the economic significances of discovery of oil in Arctic Sea and its possible environmental consequences?

In short

Arctic oil offers new energy supply, shorter trade routes and strategic gains for importers like India, but its extraction risks spills, climate feedback and harm to fragile ecosystems and indigenous people. The USGS estimated about 90 billion barrels of undiscovered oil in the Arctic.

Model answer

Ghissu Editorial · Verified 4 Oct 2026

Introduction
The USGS (2008) estimated that the Arctic holds about 90 billion barrels of undiscovered oil, roughly 13% of the world's total, mostly offshore. Warming that melts sea ice is turning it into both a prize and a hazard.
Economic Significance of Arctic Oil
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New energy supply

Russia's Prirazlomnoye (2013) and Norway's Johan Castberg (2025) fields diversify supply for importers.

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Shorter trade routes

The Northern Sea Route cuts the Europe to East Asia voyage by about 40% versus Suez.

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Costly returns and India's stake

Shell quit the Chukchi Sea in 2015 after spending about $7 billion, yet ONGC Videsh holds a share in Siberia's Vankor field under India's Arctic engagement.

Possible Environmental Consequences
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Spills that ice cannot clean

Oil degrades slowly in cold water; Exxon Valdez oil (1989) still lingers in Alaska, and the 2020 Norilsk spill fouled Arctic rivers.

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Climate feedback

Black carbon darkens snow and lowers albedo, while new reserves widen the gap with Paris goals.

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Ecosystems and people

Seismic noise disturbs whales and walrus, and Inupiat whalers and Nenets herders depend on clean ice and tundra.

Way Forward
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Safeguards

Enforce the Arctic Council's 2013 spill-response agreement with pre-positioned equipment, and the IMO Polar Code for ships.

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Restraint

Follow Greenland's 2021 halt on new exploration to protect the most fragile waters.

Conclusion
Arctic oil can ease supply and speed trade, but every barrel feeds the warming that unlocked it. Strict safeguards alone can reconcile energy security with SDG 13 and SDG 14.

This model answer is indicative and the model can make mistakes; please verify key facts independently.

Hand-drawn map: The Arctic oil frontier. Marked: .
Map: The Arctic oil frontier

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