2020 · GS Paper 1 · Q6 · 10 marks

How will the melting of Himalayan glaciers have a far-reaching impact on the water resources of India?

In short

Melting Himalayan glaciers will first raise flows and hazards such as glacial lake outbursts, then shrink the dry-season water India's rivers, aquifers and farms depend on. ICIMOD (2019) projects a third of the region's glaciers lost by 2100 even at 1.5°C of warming.

Model answer

Ghissu Editorial · Verified 4 Oct 2026

Introduction
The Himalaya holds the largest store of ice outside the poles and feeds the Indus, Ganga and Brahmaputra. ICIMOD's assessment (2019) projects a third of its glaciers lost by 2100 even at 1.5°C of warming, so India faces hazards now and scarcity later.
Near-Term Impacts of Accelerated Melt
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Deceptive rise in flows

Glacier melt supplies about 25-30% of melt-season flow (MoEFCC, 2009), and faster melt briefly swells rivers, masking the coming decline.

•

Outburst floods

Expanding moraine-dammed lakes can burst suddenly, as South Lhonak lake did in October 2023, washing away the Teesta III dam at Chungthang in Sikkim.

•

Silt and slope failure

The 2021 Chamoli rock-and-ice avalanche wrecked two hydro projects, and heavier silt from meltwater fills reservoirs and wears turbines.

Long-Term Impacts on Water Security
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Indus most exposed

The Indus relies far more on ice melt than the monsoon-fed Ganga, so Ladakh, Punjab and Haryana will feel the decline first.

•

Lean-season and recharge loss

After peak water, April-June flows for rabi crops and cities shrink, and recharge of Indo-Gangetic aquifers and mountain springs weakens, worsening groundwater over-extraction in the plains.

•

Transboundary strain

Scarcer flows raise the stakes over Chinese dams on the Yarlung Tsangpo and over the Indus Waters Treaty, which India placed in abeyance in 2025.

This model answer is indicative and the model can make mistakes; please verify key facts independently.

Hand-drawn map: Glacier-fed rivers and melt hazards. Marked: South Lhonak Lake, Chamoli. Rivers: Indus, Ganga, Brahmaputra.
Map: Glacier-fed rivers and melt hazards
Hand-drawn diagram: From Melt to Scarcity. From Melt to Scarcity. Flow: Rising temperature → Faster glacier melt → Peak water → Shrinking ice store → Lean-season deficit
Diagram: From Melt to Scarcity

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