2020 · GS Paper 3 · Q2 · 10 marks

Define potential GDP and explain its determinants. What are the factors that have been inhibiting India from realizing its potential GDP?

In short

Potential GDP is the highest output an economy can sustain with full use of labour, capital and technology without inflation, and India's is held back by underused labour, slowing productivity and weak private investment. Female labour force participation was only 41.7% in PLFS 2023-24.

Model answer

Ghissu Editorial · Verified 4 Oct 2026

Introduction
Potential GDP is the highest output an economy can sustain when labour, capital and technology are fully used without causing inflation; the shortfall of actual output is the output gap. The Economic Survey 2025-26 places India's potential growth near 7%.
Determinants of Potential GDP
•

Labour and capital

Output depends on the size, skill and participation of the workforce and on the machinery and infrastructure built by investment, with capital formation above 30% of GDP (Economic Survey 2025-26).

•

Productivity

Total factor productivity from technology and from moving workers out of farming raises output from the same inputs.

•

Institutions

Contract enforcement, logistics and power decide how efficiently inputs combine.

Factors Inhibiting India from Realising Its Potential
•

Underused labour

Female participation of 41.7% (PLFS 2023-24) and over 45% of workers in agriculture keep labour input low.

•

Productivity slowdown

Azim Premji University estimates labour productivity fell 0.5% in 2023-24 and would be 41% higher had pre-2018 growth continued.

•

Weak private investment

The twin balance sheet problem and the 2018 NBFC crisis held back private capex.

•

Regulatory and skill frictions

A 163rd rank on enforcing contracts (Doing Business 2020) and only about half of youth employable (India Skills Report 2024) keep firms small.

Conclusion
Potential GDP rises when more women work, workers shift to manufacturing and services, and capital is used productively. Skilling, factor-market reforms and sustained investment can lift India from 7% potential towards the 8% growth Viksit Bharat 2047 needs.

This model answer is indicative and the model can make mistakes; please verify key facts independently.

Hand-drawn diagram: Production Function View. Production Function View. Flow: Labour force → Capital stock → Total factor productivity → Potential GDP
Diagram: Production Function View

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